Formula 7.1
Acceptable reliability level
Input(s)
$N$: Number of Exploration Wells (dimensionless)
$P_{(x)}$: Binomial Probability of Discovering $\mathrm{X}$ number of Fields with Total $\mathrm{N}$ number of Exploration Wells (fraction)
$P_{F}$: Probability of having $\mathrm{X}$ number of fields that averagely includes minimum $\mathrm{F}$ barrels of Oil (fraction)
Output(s)
$L_{\text {Rel }}$: Acceptable Reliability Level (dimensionless)
Formula(s)
$$ \mathrm{L}_{\mathrm{Rel}}=\sum_{\mathrm{X}=1}^{\mathrm{X}=\mathrm{N}} \mathrm{P}_{(\mathrm{x})} \cdot \mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{F}} $$
Reference(s)
Serpen, U., Petroleum Economics, Course Notes, ITU Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Istanbul, Turkey, (2008) Page: 89.